Butler at Seton Hall
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<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Thanks to the superhuman exploits of Myles Powell at the end of the game, Seton Hall became the Harry Houdini of University Basketball. The Pirates have repeatedly "walked the board" this season, but have miraculously emerged victorious apparently with every call up close. Against Kentucky, Hall led for less than two minutes of regulation (result: victory in overtime). In front of St. John's, the Pirates dug a 14-point hole in the first half and faced a double-digit deficit in the middle of the second half (result: win over drummer). With Xavier, they were 10 points behind and a little over 10 minutes remaining (result: a comfortable victory). "Data-reactid =" 19 "> Thanks to Myles Powell's great heroes late in the game, Seton Hall became the Harry Houdini of college basketball.The Pirates have repeatedly" hit the boards "this season, but they miraculously won Victory at every tight pace Against Kentucky, Hall led for less than two minutes of regulation (result: overtime win.) Against St. John's, the Pirates dug a 14-point hole in the first half and had a double-digit deficit in half the second half (result: win over drummer.) At Xavier, they were 10 points behind with just over 10 minutes remaining (result: gained comfortably).
Even though he lost one of the most decorated senior classes in the history of the program, Powell – an actor once forgotten, became a superstar – lets consider at Seton Hall another trip to the NCAA tournament. Even among the many qualified candidates for the Eastern Player of the Year, it is fair to say that no one has been more helpful to their team than Powell. Seton Hall's arsenal of offensive weapons was emptied this summer, but Powell's shots in another world kept the Pirates ship afloat.
DePaul managed to sink the Pirates Sunday by limiting Powell's score to just 16 points on 4 shots out of 13 by simply refusing to let him take the rock anywhere on the floor. He was released on a few occasions, but Dave Leitao had Max Strus stuck to Powell throughout the match, forcing him to work tirelessly to get the ball. The plan is one of LaVall's plans for Jordan tonight, especially with two beefy defensemen, Aaron Thompson and Henry Baddley, who both have the length to disrupt Powell's vision and airspace.
On the surface, it may seem difficult to find a significant advantage in a match between two programs of Big East always strong who know each other perfectly. As a reminder, in each of the last four conferences in Newark between the two, the final line of play is over on a five point range and no team has been favored by more than 2.5.
2015: Seton Room -2
2016: Seton Room -2,5
2017: butler -2
2018: Seton Hall -2.5
But tonight the Bulldogs' half-court attack should give Butler's fans a significant advantage …
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Since LaVall Jordan returned to his alma mater two years Later A few years ago, Butler's offense was heavily dictated by the guards' penetration, which is usually triggered by a transfer operation on the fly or dribbling.The ground is still well spaced, which gives an offensive catalyst to the Bulldogs, Kamar Baldwin, a lot of real estate to hit in the belly of the defense. So far this season, the Pirates have struggled to contain their dribble defensively and currently rank at the 28th percentile in points per possession awarded versus pick-and-roll, by Synergy. This could be a good opportunity for Baldwin to exert constant pressure on Hall's off-ball defensemen and, in turn, to create open appearances for a long-range elite sniper trio. Paul JorgensenSean McDermott and Jordan Tucker. "Data-reactid =" 28 "> Since LaVall Jordan returned to his alma mater two years ago, Butler's offense has been heavily dictated by guard penetration, usually triggered by rollovers. The ground is still well spaced, giving the Bulldogs offensive catalyst, Kamar Baldwin, plenty of goods to hit in the belly of the defense.Today this season, the Pirates have struggled to contain their dribble defense, and currently ranked in the 28th percentile per possession awarded against pick-and-roll, by Synergy, which could provide a lucrative opportunity for Baldwin to put constant pressure on Hall's off-ball defenders and, his turn, to create an open style for a trio of long-range snipers, Paul Jorgensen, Sean McDermott and Jordan Tucker.
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Davidson at George Mason
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The conference represents a fresh start for teams across the country, and few of them needed more than George Mason, who repeatedly pressed the repeat button for the 2018-19 season until Christmas. In their first two games of the Atlantic 10 after a disappointing 6-7-day conference-free program, the Patriots crushed St. Joe's and St. Bonaventure, increasing their kenpom score by nearly 30 places in the process. indexed to finish in the top echelon of the league.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "On the other side, waiting for an enemy who also hosted the opening of the league game because it meant the return of the star guard Kellan Grady, who had missed the previous four games due to a knee injury (three of which were defeats to Division I teams). Davidson, our pre-season choice to win the Atlantic 10maybe even better in the long run after Grady's brief absence. Jon Axel Gudmundsson, who himself looks like a candidate of the A-10 player of the year, and new recruits Luke Frampton and Luka Brajkovic, have been the most heavily penalized. The defeats on the field have certainly hurt the Wildcats case (it's probably a self-offer or a bankruptcy now), but the fact that the youngsters are thrown into the fire against North Carolina, Temple and Wake Forest should pay dividends in the long run. -10 race. "Data-reactid =" 33 "> On the other side, expecting an enemy who also welcomed the opening of the championship because it was the return of star guard Kellan Grady, who had missed all four previous games with a knee injury (including three losses against Division I teams) Davidson, our pre-season selection to win the Atlantic 10, could be better in the long run after the Grady's brief absence, Jon Axel Gudmundsson, two new first-class students, Luke Frampton and Luka Brajkovic, were beaten, and the losses suffered by the court were detrimental to the Wildcats' general case ( it is likely that it will automatically start or fail at the moment.) Young people thrown into the fire against North Carolina, Temple and Wake Forest should pay long-term dividends in the A race. -10.
The story continues
Without Grady, Davidson's predictive metric ranking dropped, indicating that they may be slightly underestimated. Now that he is back, we expect Davidson to play at a very high level, and his star shooter is one of the main reasons. In this A-10 overview, we highlighted the complex motion offense of Bob McKillop, who uses a barrage of off-ball movements to connect the defense to knots, often based on allowing Grady to to score. The emergence of Frampton and Carter Collins in rollover events makes it even more difficult to guard, since even helping one step too far can give three points. The difference in this game, however, may be that Brajkovic is a later threat. The Austrian gangster scored 1,105 points per possession, placing it in the 88th percentile by synergy at the national level, and George Mason's characters will all drop by several centimeters. Indeed, none of Mason's four strikers rank higher than the 43rd percentile in post-defense, demonstrating how much their size deficit can be an Achilles heel. In addition, with so many home and away matches, it is extremely difficult to help Brajkovic overthrow his defender for a half-hook.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "At the other end, George Mason n & # It is not designed to exploit the greatest weakness of Davidson, who keeps the line of three points, while she ranks 262nd in the classification of attempts to hit three points. McKillop chose to play more zones 2-3and although he uses it only 10% of the time this year, it's a perfect match to deploy. The Patriots want to disperse with four guards and chase the rebound, which the area is supposed to take away. In addition, Mason usually sends only one body to the offensive shot, again not taking advantage of the zone's propensity to give second chance opportunities. Instead, coach Dave Paulsen insisted on the transition defense, which is not a problem for a Davidson team that wants to advance the ball. "Data-reactid =" 39 "> On the other end, George Mason is not designed to exploit the capabilities of Davidson.The greatest weakness, which keeps the line of the three points, ranking 262nd rank for a three-point attempt rate.The campaign last year rocked when McKillop chose to play more than two or three zones, and although he only uses it 10 % of the time This year is a perfect match for the throw, the Patriots want to extend with four guards and chase the rebound, which the area is supposed to take away.Masson usually sends only one body to the offensive glass Coach Dave Paulsen insists on transitional defense, which is not a problem for a Davidson team that wants to take on the challenge.
This game will almost certainly be played in the half court, which means that the offensive run will be a bonus. At Weave, we have an unwavering love for McKillop's motion and, with his full arsenal of weapons in stock, Davidson should assert himself as the conference's favorite that we expected him to be.
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Arizona to Stanford
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The last time Stanford beat Arizona was Jan. 4, 2009, with Landry Fields taking over Chase Budinger. That's right, the Wildcats beat the cardinal 17 times in a row. But I also think Arizona is the most overrated team in the Pac-12 at the moment, and it's a good place for Stanford to end this dubious series.
Let's take a quick look at Arizona's last three games, all at home. The Wildcats have won 70 to 68 wins over UC Davis, which is currently ranked No. 250 on Kenpom.com. The Aggies were winning at McKale until Justin Coleman scored three goals and there was a minute left. Arizona won an eight-point win against Colorado to start playing in the Pac-12 series, although the Buffaloes recorded a much worse performance outside of their home until they present this season. The Wildcats then survived Utah 84-81 in overtime, and that was with the Utes playing without their best player, Sedrick Barefield, for the final, 6:44 of the match after his foul.
Now the Wildcats are on the road to Maples Hall, where Stanford is 5-0. The Cardinal has just made a disappointing trip to South America during which he lost double-digit numbers against UCLA and USC. Still, I would venture to say that Stanford is the most talented team compared to his opponent Wednesday night.
The cardinal is led by two sophomores, KZ Okpala and Daejon Davis. Okpala is one of the most unique players in the Pac-12 or even college basketball. He is a 6'9 "forward capable of scoring to the hole, scoring dribble or being scouted from outside (he's shot 46.3% on three this season). Davis is the driving force behind the Stanford attack for the movement, as he is an effective scorer who distributes the ball just as well. They combine an average of 10.6 fouls per 40 minutes, a problem for an Arizona team that does not have much depth. The sophomore Oscar Da Silva and the rookie shooter Cormac Ryan are also essential offensive weapons for the cardinal, especially when Jerod Haase puts Okpala at 4 and Da Silva at 5 for maximum floor spacing in attack.
On the other hand, Sean Miller-led teams, who tend to fight zone defense much more than men, have been hit. According to Synergy, Arizona's half-court offense this season is in the 71st percentile in terms of PPP against the man and falls to the 34th percentile against zone. Stanford opted for the area on 25.9% of his defensive possessions this season and was a better race zone compared to the man (62nd percentile for the zone, 36th percentile for the man). I expect that Haase will increase the use of his team's area in this one, knowing that Arizona is fighting against it.
The Cardinal is also one of the strongest defense teams in the country. They only allow 26.0% of the opponent's shots beyond the arc, which is the lowest of college basketball. Opponents do not pull well in their rare three-point attempts against Stanford either, with a score of 29.3% (22nd). Three of the Wildcats' top four scorers (Brandon Randolph, Brandon Williams and Justin Coleman) averaged more than three attempts at three points per game, while two of them (Randolph and Williams) averaged more than five per game. match.
Stanford will try to avoid a 0-3 lead in Pac-12 and stop Arizona's 17-game winning streak. The Cardinal have height (third on average for kenpom.com) to truly disrupt the Arizona attack, especially as they go into the zone for most of the match. The big question will be whether Stanford can hit hard enough and limit the turnarounds (292e as a percentage of his turnover) against the stingy Arizona defensive, ranked 35th in defensive efficiency. I think the cardinal's superior talent will win in a foolish affair in Palo Alto.
<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Overall record: 12-12-1"data-reactid =" 51 ">Overall record: 12-12-1